07 July, 2017
By Thursday morning, the storm was moving northwest at just 17 miles per hour, but it was expected to gain speed. That's where the current tropical depression emerged and the next one is expected to.
This third update to the annual Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability now predicts 15 named storms, eight of which will be Atlantic hurricanes.
The system would have to become a tropical storm with winds of 40mph or greater to be given a name.
They say there is a 70 percent chance it will get organized into a tropical depression over the next 48 hours.
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Tropical depressions are the least powerful form of tropical cyclone, and have maximum sustained winds of 38 miles per hour.
The three tropical storms that have formed in the Atlantic basin so far have not achieved full hurricane status, remaining as tropical storm status for their duration. It was also expected to encounter increasing wind shear, or fluctuations in upper-level winds which pull storms apart. However, conditions may become favorable enough for this system to organize and be named "Don" before reaching more unfavorable conditions north of Hispaniola early next week.
This system will be battling dry air and Saharan Dust during the next few days which will prevent it from strengthening.
Before his June 30 retirement, ending a 35-year NOAA career that included 83 flights breaching hurricane eyewalls, Franklin discussed forecasting with The Associated Press.